The new tail is getting more and more

A report yesterday showed that the property market was adjusted in the second half of 2018, and the new cargo tail was not effectively cut. There were 3,295 new cargo tails completed in 2017 and 2018. From 2019 onwards, in the face of a vacant tax, there will be a lot of goods in the existing building that need to be cleared to avoid paying extra rates.

Tang Rong had met with the industry earlier. A senior had pointed out that quite a lot of new products were launched this year. There were new and unsold goods. He specifically mentioned that some people who had been in the market for a period of time had to re-start the market. Buyers’ interests are particularly difficult, and with vacant taxes, developers are not without pressure.

Restart buyer interest, developer pressure

First look at the first-hand figures released by the Transport and Housing Bureau in the three quarters. Tang Rong took the figures from the second quarter to the fourth quarter of last year. You can see that the Chief Executive Lin Zhengyue announced the first-hand levy after the release of the vacant tax at the end of June. Happening. Assume that the occupation in 2018 is still “fresh and hot”. As you can see from the attached table:

Some years of inventory have been arranged for sale, as before 2016, the second quarter of last year was reduced from 2,400 to 2,200. Or by a slight reduction of 100 in 2016.

From the reduction of the overall cargo tail, developers are inclined to first sell the units that have been completed in 2017, and the reduction rate is quite fast, from 4,400 in mid-2018 to 2,700 at the end of the year.

However, due to the decline in capacity in the second half of last year, it can be found that there is a growing trend in the end of 2018, from the end of last year to 3,000.

Let’s take a look at the report of the Central Plains Real Estate Research Department. In the new disk that was first launched in 2016 and beyond, 93 project statistics were selected; a total of 54,172 units. Statistics show that the property market adjustment in the second half of 2018, the new inventory of the tail has not been effectively reduced, as of December 2018 statistics, 2017 new year, the end of the cargo, 1,729, a decrease of 25 per month. In 2018, a new plate was completed, with 1,566 cargo ends, an increase of 322 by month. In 2019, a new plate was completed, with 4,662 cargo tails, a decrease of 127 per month. In 2020, a new plate was completed, with 3,152 cargo tails, an increase of 516 per month.

If the numbers in Table 1 and Table 2 are combined, how many potential tails are there? Official figures, before or after 2018, there were 9,000 unsold first-hand units, plus the Central Plains statistics, a total of 7,814 people who had launched new projects in 2019 and 2020 but still not sold out. In the building, a total of nearly 17,000 people should go to the goods as soon as possible. According to the developer’s old and new strategy, in 2019, the main products in Table 1 and Table 2 should be cleared in 2017 and 2018.