7/8/2017-5

3 indicators to attract attention: the price of financial real estate

National Bureau of Statistics on August 9 will be announced in July consumer price index (CPI), industrial producer price index (PPI) monthly report, began to enter the mainland another data week, climax is the 14th national economic operation conference, during which The General Administration of Customs, the Ministry of Finance have also published data in various fields, among the three major data most attention.

National Bureau announced the CPI, PPI, has always been the data week gun, the pair of data has always been seen as an important indicator of the impact of the Mainland economy.

Commodity rose PPI ring than the growth rate is positive

According to the Ministry of Commerce announced weekly edible agricultural product price index, July edible agricultural prices fell for two weeks, two weeks rose slightly. The National Bureau announced the 50 major cities in the average price of food changes in the situation, the middle of July the main food prices as a whole stable. At present, various agencies predict that in July the price trend is moderate, CPI will remain stable in the low, year-on-year increase or 1.4% to 1.5%. As the steel, nonferrous metals, energy and other commodity prices, July PPI chain growth is expected to correct. Showing that there is no inflation worries in the Mainland and no deflation.

Financial data has always been a concern, especially in the national financial work conference held month, there is a series of policy statements under the financial performance. The financial sector is generally expected in the second half of the monetary policy to maintain a stable neutral, broad money (M2) growth also expected to rebound, the decline in credit, and investment mainly to see financial performance.

Financial data in the concern, but the RMB exchange rate of the relevant data. At the beginning of the forecast forecast fell, the yuan exchange rate does not fall or rise, recently rose even in March. Foreign exchange experts believe that the central parity mechanism is running well, depreciation is expected to weaken, the second half of the yuan will stabilize.

The third concern is real estate data. State Bureau announced on the 14th of the real estate development and sales of monthly reports, 18 announced 70 large and medium – sized cities residential sales price monthly report, the most attention.

The current financial sector on the real estate investment is not slowing have different views, but admitted that sales may be more than expected. In the down lever, to the stock policy rigid, the real estate market bubble has not squeezed out, there is no downside prices, real estate investment to reduce the driving force is the focus of the data after the analysis.