It is difficult to run through the stock house during the year

DBS Hong Kong and China mainland stock strategist Lin Zijin said yesterday that Hong Kong stocks fell sharply in recent months, which is estimated to be affected by the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations

The exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar fell below 7 and made most investors Observing attitude. He believes that before the US presidential election next year, China and the United States will have the opportunity to reach a trade agreement.

He pointed out that if the local violent conflict can end before the fourth quarter of this year, the HSI will target 26,050 points by the end of this year and the target of 32,800 points next year

This year Hong Kong’s economy has grown at zero growth and will grow by 1.3% next year. Property prices are expected to rise by 5% throughout the year and zero growth next year.

However, the local violent conflict continued into the fourth quarter, the HSI will continue to find the bottom, the target for the end of the year is 24,400 points, and the target for next year is 29,400 points. The Hong Kong economy is expected to fall by 2.5% this year and only increase by 0.8% next year. Property prices are expected to rise 3% this year and 15% next year.

The worst case property price may fall by 20%

In the worst case, the local violent conflict escalated and continued. The target for the Hang Seng Index was as low as 21600 to 16800, and next year was 23300 to 18100. In terms of economic growth, it is expected to fall 3.8% to 5.9% this year and zero growth next year. Up to 0.4%; property prices rose 1% this year to 2%, and property prices are expected to fall 20% to 30% next year.


Main page                                                                                                 Next page

發佈留言

發佈留言必須填寫的電子郵件地址不會公開。 必填欄位標示為 *